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Continuing Covid Lockdowns in China and The Effects on the Global Supply Chains

China covid lockdowns in a drawn example

For most people in the U.S., strict covid lockdowns are a nightmarish memory of the recent past, but for 24.9 million people, it’s still very much a reality. In pursuit of their ‘zero-covid’ strategy, China has once again shut down their cities and locked people in their homes. While to the rest of the world, the concept of endless lockdowns seems rather draconian and unthinkable, the Chinese government has doubled down on these policies. 

In addition to harming its population and its own economy, these governmental policies also cause reverberations around the world. Part of those reverberations includes the effects on the global supply chain. 

Let’s look at the specifics. 

The Continous Covid Lockdows and The Effects on the Supply Chain 

As the world slowly returns to normal in America, other parts of the world continue to struggle under the covid threat and are a long way away from normalcy. Recent reports out of China, for example, are slowly painting the horrid picture of a population stuck in their homes without the ability to work and —at times— feed their family. 

Chinese lockdowns are much different than what Americans might remember as lockdowns. Even the strictest period in American covid policy did not compare to the Chinese government’s enforcement. In China, residents can be subjected to much more oppressive actions, including the complete inability to leave their homes. They can’t leave for work, get food, or even receive medical care. It is keeping the population completely barricaded. 

Reports of people going hungry in Shanghai are slowly trickling into the Western media. According to some reports, government handouts of food have been somewhat unreliable. The authorities in China themselves have admitted to a food shortage as a result of a lack of planning and coordination. 

When Omicron hit Shanghai, the authorities changed course with their policies and turned to a zero covid mentality. Before that, Shanghai had comparable covid policies to the rest of the world: mask mandates and social distancing, but nothing to the level of draconian lockdowns. With the fast spread of Omicron, the government began what they called a ‘temporary pause,’ which has been extended again and again. For communities with a single new positive case, the lockdown is extended for 14 days. 

In Tesla’s factory in Shanghai, workers are practically living on-site in order to keep production going. The company is doing its best to provide sleeping bags and mattresses and designated areas for eating and entertainment. 

The External Effect 

The full consequences of the lockdowns still remain to be seen, as Western media has little access to many of the realities in China on the ground. Shanghai is where one of the world’s largest ports is located. Their Pudong airport is the world’s busiest cargo airport. The city accounts for 7.4% of China’s exports and 14.4% of imports. 

The city has one of the most essential semiconductor manufacturing centers, is the center of many auto producers, including SAIC Motor, and SAIC’s other joint companies, including Walkwages, GM, Tesla, and Ford. 

At this point, it is no secret that the United States imports a lot of goods from China. The past few years have certainly brought this idea to the forefront of people across all sectors. The United States imported about $435 billion of goods from various Chinese cities. 

The current policies are creating all kinds of stop gaps and hurdles in the city itself, where the ports are overfilling without anybody to pick up their orders or deliver them. This is despite efforts to maintain a ‘closed-loop’ system at the ports, where workers sleep and eat on-site without leaving. So when lockdowns end, a pent-up amount of orders will cripple supply chains by creating clogs in the supply lines.  

Reverberations of the Chinese Lockdowns in Europe

Many American companies have become highly dependent on Chinese goods. America is not the only country that feels the gaps in the supply chain due to Chinese policies. The European Union sent a letter to the Chinese government asking them to reconsider their stringent policies as European supplies suffer the consequences of backlogged orders. According to Freight Waves: 

  • Container volumes out of China have dropped 31%. This impacts the U.S. surface freight market. 
  • There are reportedly 300 containerships and 500 bulk ships off the coast of China
  • Backlog of orders when things open back up will create massive chaos and clogs in the supply chain

Get Professional Assistance With Exports and Imports Through a Customs Brokerage 

The world of global supply chains, imports, exports, and fluctuating markets is an ever-changing landscape. It is often affected by the policies of governments around the world and COVID lockdowns. 

A customs broker specializing in studying the changing regulations and what’s happening in the world of international trade in order to better facilitate the exchange of goods. 

Learn more. Connect with us at Cordova Brokerage. 

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A Look at Global Trade During 2020 and Moving Forward

Cargo ships entering one of the busiest ports in the world, Singapore.The year 2020 has been a bit of a wild ride. Well, that’s certainly an understatement. For many people in this country, the year has been filled with nightmarish rollercoaster-like ups and downs, twists and turns, and probably some machine malfunctions, ungreased gears, and loose screws. And yet, America—being the resilient and robust economy that it is— continues forward and marches on. So while every industry, every person, every sports team, business, and school is being, in some way, affected by changing regulations and people’s sudden hypersensitivity to personal space and hygiene, the global market is also seeing its effects. According to some reports, the global economy is seeing the sharpest reversal since the Great Depression. The drop was quite dramatic in the early months of the shutdown and has seen some steady recovery since. 

The Ever-Changing Markets 

If you are in the business of exporting or importing goods, you know that the market, regulations, and tides of trade are always shifting and ebbing and flowing. This year was specifically turbulent because of unprecedented circumstances. As of April 2020, 6.6 million Americans were seeking unemployment benefits. This has, of course, great implications for the domestic economy and will see the ripple effects moving through the whole of society pretty soon. The pandemic has certainly upended many international trade flows, though the U.S import and export movement must continue. It has certainly made countries think much more carefully about who they are trading with and how they conduct business abroad. 

China is, of course, coming under fire from many countries including the U.S and India. As of June of 2020, many Indian businesses were all boycotting Chinese products. India has already banned certain products, apps, and other items from China. In April, Japanese officials injected $2 billion to boost domestic manufacturing. Other countries, as reported by US News, like France have expressed their need to refocus their trading partners and reassess their relationship with people from China. White House economic advisor Peter Navarro told reporters that he thought, “We are dangerously over-dependent on a global supply chain.” 

These movements have led many to report that nationalism and more nationalistic trade policies will emerge the victors after the smoke clears. As Forbes reports, there have already been several reports to block exports of certain items. And this, according to them, might lead governments to be a lot more selective about what they deem essential exports and imports. 

Impact on Imports and Exports 

The pandemic has also had significant effects on imports and exports; it has disrupted supply chains, reduced trade volumes, and limited product availability. While this causes concern for traders, it doesn’t mean all of it is dismal news. Because all markets are interconnected — from Europe to India to the U.S — a disruption to one part of the chain will often have some effects on the other. 

Some analysts are predicting that returning to normal will be a difficult fight. Many believe that the outbreak has permanently altered the global flow of goods and services. The pre-coronavirus norms seemed to have open free-flowing trade across global markets, as globalization seemed to be the 21st century way of trading. The political popularity of globalization has suffered quite a bit and many countries are looking for ways to remain a little more conservative on their trade, or, at the very least, have much more discretion on who they trade with. 

And so while pre-corona trade patterns may not return, international trade, imports, and exports will continue to be a large part of the U.S economy as we continue trading with our allies and close trading partners. There is no question that the pandemic has brought about a change in the international markets, but exactly what kind of change is yet to be seen. Other industries like pharmaceuticals might see their changes as well, as countries begin to kickstart the production of some of these goods in their own borders. In the U.S, according to Market Watch, imports fell 6.2% but U.S exports fell even deeper with 9.6%. 

The U.S trade deficit also widened by almost 12% in March as international flights were not allowed to fly, which froze the global tourism. At the same time, the exchange of goods was also affected. The U.S exported fewer cars, aircraft parts, and barrels of petroleum. 

As far as the big picture is visible right now, some segments of international commerce are faring better than others. For example, trade in medical supplies and food, but the global petroleum market has been hard hit. The movement of electronic goods like iPhones has also decreased dramatically. And while the recovery of the global economy might take some time, there will not be a shortage of need for international trade, especially in certain industries. There has been some decline in freight and cargo shipments for a variety of reasons including the fact that many companies have had to shut their doors and many ports and transportation workers were either sick or unable to return to work. 

In these uncertain times, you need to have a brokerage you can trust. Here at Cordova Brokerage, we are entrenched in the movements of the markets and global trade in order to provide our clients with the latest information and pertinent changes. If you are importing or exporting goods, things might seem a little chaotic. Find a brokerage you can trust to walk you through the ever-changing markets, regulations, and compliance restrictions.